Tuesday, October 12, 2010

FiveThirtyEight Forecasts Pennsylvania 11th District

Kanjorski vs. Barletta 538 Forecast New York Times

Projected Election Results

Based on polling, expert forecasts, fundraising, past election returns and other indicators, this is the prediction of how the district will vote on Nov. 2
Barletta 51.8%      Kanjorski 45.5%

Chance Each Candidate Wins The Seat

The chance that each candidate will win based on 100,000 simulations with random variation in the local and national political environment.
Barletta 80.8%     Kanjorski 19.2%

Visit the site and play with the charts.

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